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Author: Mick Gannon
Mar 23, 2018 11:02 AM
AAP
Your NRL betting guide for Round 3
The Storm lacked cohesion last week against a Tigers outfit who showed a great will to win. The Cowboys were very much in the same boat against the Broncos and had their chance but couldn’t get the job done. This is set-up to be a gruelling encounter and expect to see limited points scored.
Key NRL stats
- The Storm are the punters' pal, having won 15 of their last 16 matches as favourites.
- The Storm have dominated their North Queensland rivals in recent time, winning the last six encounters against the Cowboys.
- Points have been hard to come by between these two clubs when playing in Melbourne, with five of the last six-night matches at AAMI Park resulting in ‘under’ total match points line.
Suggested bet: Total Match Points under 37.5 points @ $1.90
The Panthers have been patchy but are two from two as they face off against a Bulldogs outfit who are desperate for their first win of the season. If the Panthers can string two halves together it’ll be a long night for doggies fans.
Key NRL stats
- The last five matches between these two teams have been won by the favourite.
- The Panthers have shown they can put oppnents away, covering the line in seven of their last nine matches.
- The Panthers' last six games have resulted in ‘under’ total match points line.
Suggested bet: Panthers to win 13+ margin @ $3.20
The Tigers have two huge scalps to their name already and are on the hunt for a third. The Broncos' spine impressed in their second hit out of the year against the well-fancied Cowboys. This could be the game that breaks the Tigers' momentum and with the expectation of a win now high, fans will be hoping the wheels on the bus continue to go ‘round and round’.
Key NRL stats
- The Tigers have put up a good fight against the Broncos in recent seasons, managing to cover the line in each of their last nine games.
- The Broncos have dominated head-to-head against the Tigers, winning seven of their last eight games.
- Point scoring hasn’t come easy for either side when they meet in night matches, with five of the last six games resulting in ‘under’ total match points line.
Suggested bet: Broncos to win 1-12 margin @ $2.80
The Warriors are two from two and are on a high as they cross the Tasman. The Raiders are at the other end of the spectrum, coming off the back of two narrow defeats, which is sure to have Raiders fans on edge. If the Warriors hold their form they could blow the Raiders off the park.
Key NRL stats
- The Raiders have only won five of their last ten home games
- In each of those five games the Raiders have failed to cover the line from seven of ten attempts
- Neither team have struggled to score points so far in 2018, the average total match points per game between the two is 49 points
Suggested bet: Warrirors to cover the line +2.5 @ $1.90
The ‘bunnies’ are winless coming into round three and face-off against a Sea Eagles team who are on a high after a 54-nil shellacking of the Eels. The Rabbits will once again be without first-choice halfback Adam Reynolds, whilst the Sea Eagles will look to ride the momentum beyond round two.
Key NRL stats
- The Rabbits have found it difficult to win when their backs are against the wall, having won only three of their last 12 games as outsiders
- The Sea Eagles handle the pressure of favouritism well, they have won nine of their past 13 games as favourites
- The last five games between these two side have resulted in an average of 43.2 total points per game
Suggested bet: Manly to win 13+ margin @ $3.40
The Eels were disgraceful last week against the Sea Eagles. The Sharks also had their moments against the Dragons and will be hoping the likes of Valentine Holmes, Josh Dugan and Matt Moylan click in round three.
Key NRL stats
- The Sharks have won the last three encounters between both clubs
- Of those three wins, the Sharks have won by an average margin of 10 points per game
- There has been no shortage of points scored in the last five encounters between these two, resulting with an average total match points of 51 per game
Suggested bet: Head-to-head Sharks to win @ $2
The return of Ash Taylor is a massive boost for the Titans. Taylor was absent for the round two loss against the Warriors and will have to impress following his lay-off if the Titans are to win. The Dragons have on fire in their opening two games of the season and go into this game as deserved favourite.
Key NRL stats
- Don’t despair Titans fans, your team have won three of their last five home games as underdogs.
- The Titans have won three of their last five games against the Dragons
- An average of 44 total match points has been scored between these teams in their last five encounters
Suggested bet: Titans to win 1-12 margin @ $3.75
The Chooks found some form in round two and look on the way up, whilst the Knights made it two from two coming from behind to beat the Raiders. This is a big match for former Roosters players Mitchell Pearce, Aiden Guerra and Shaun Kenny Dowell who will all be out to prove a point against their old club.
Key NRL stats
- The Roosters have had no issues winning at home, victorious in 10 of their last 13 home games.
- Although dominant at home in their past 13 games, the Roosters have only covered the line in four of those 13 games.
- The last five encounters between these two clubs have resulted in an average of 38 points per game.
Suggested bet: Newcastle +8.5 into total match points under 45.5 @ $3.30
