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Newcastle Ponga

NRL Betting Tips: Sunday afternoon footy Round 4 Season 2019


Knights set to slay Dragons

Sunday's pair of games is highlighted by the Knights and Dragons game, where both sides are aiming for win number two in 2019.

Before that, the Bulldogs will need to produce their best performance in recent times to get a victory against the Storm.

Read on for our match previews and NRL betting tips.

 

Melbourne Storm vs Canterbury Bansktown Bulldogs 

NRL Odds: Storm $1.13 (-17.5) / Bulldogs $5.50 (+17.5)

The Bulldogs picked themselves off the canvas last week, and it probably came just in the nick of time.

That's because they face the Storm down in Melbourne on Sunday, which is a formidable task for any opposition.

With Craig Bellamy's men looking as good as they ever have, this could be a very lop-sided scoreline.

Especially considering that Dogs half Keiran Foran has been ruled out.

 

Why Bulldogs can win

With no Foran, the Dogs have a very inexperienced halves combo who simply don't have the ability to orchestrate a win for the visitors.

If Canterbury do win, it will have to be as a result of a near-flawless defensive display, and their forwards and outside backs winning the metre-battle.

Jayden Okunbor debuted on the wing last week and was outstanding, running for a game-high 212 metres.

He'll need to go to another level here though, as he comes up against one of the game's best wingers in Suliasi Vunivalu.

 

Why Storm can win

If the Melbournians can avoid becoming complacent, then they'll ease to victory here.

With the wrath of Craig Bellamy always in the back of their minds, the Storm players aren't likely to put a foot wrong.

Their 32-2 away win against Penrith last week was one of the Storm's best performances in recent memory, both in attack and defence.

Cameron Munster has been in superb form and he'll be relishing the chance of playing opposite an untried halves combination.

It's hard to see the Storm losing which is reflected in the NRL odds for this game.

 

NRL Stats Key NRL Stat
  • The past 3 games between these sides has been won by the away side: Bulldogs to win @ $5.50
NRL Betting Tip NRL Betting Tip: Melbourne to cover the -17.5 point line @ $1.90

Reasoning: The Storm are just too professional, too organised and too good.

NRL Betting Tip  2018 media tipster champ: Storm

 

 

Newcastle Knights vs St George Illawarra Dragons

NRL Odds: Knights $1.73 (-2.0) / Dragons $2.05 (+2.0)

The round concludes with a fascinating betting match, when the Dragons travel up to Newcastle to take on the Knights.

The Red V were surprise but deserved winners against the Broncos last time out, and should have won by more than a point.

If they can replicate that performance, they'll prove a handful for the Knights who will also be searching for their second win of 2019 here.

 

Why Knights can win

After a gritty opening round win, the Knights have suffered two tight defeats.

While their defence has been solid, the Novacastrians just haven't had the points to get over the line.

In a move to counter this trend, Nathan Brown has moved Kalyn Ponga back to his more familiar fullback position, where he is hoping the young superstar will flourish.

If Newcastle's forwards can win the metre-battle, then Ponga's speed and strength may prove decisive here.

 

Why Dragons can win

Last week's win was a bittersweet victory for the Red V, with the 1-point win soured by Gareth Widdop suffering a dislocated shoulder.

Matt Dufty will fill the number 1 jersey and he has proved in the past that he's no slouch.

With whispers that Tyson Frizell could be promoted from the reserves to the starting line-up, the Dragons have all the personnel to get the job done.

But if they play like they did in Rounds 1 and 2, the Knights will ease to victory in front of their home fans.

 

NRL Stats Key NRL Stat
  • St George Illawarra have won 7 of their previous 8 meetings with Newcastle: Dragons to win @ $2.05
NRL Betting Tip NRL Betting Tip: Either team to win by 6 points or less @ $2.76

Reasoning: The form lines point to a close game. This bet is good value if like us, you can't decide who should be winning.

NRL Betting Tip  2018 media tipster champ: Knights

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