• Join
  • Login
  • BNA Twitter
  • BNA Facebook
  • 18:06:41 AEST
  • Tuesday, 16 April 2024
  • Gamble Responsibly 18+
Richmond Dusty Martin 2018

AFL Betting Preview Round 13: Key stats & tips for the weekend games


Tigers ready to rip Cats to shreds at the G

In Saturday's first game, Carlton will pull out all the stops to try and pinch their second win of the season against Fremantle.

Similarly, embattled St Kilda and Gold Coast are also in desperate need of a win, with either team capable of clenching the four points on their day. 

Saturday night sees Adelaide try to extricate themselves from the quagmire of poor performances they find themselves stuck in. The ruthless Hawks will no doubt try to push them in further. 

But Sunday's solitary fixture shapes up as the main interest. Can Geelong be the team to put an end to the Tigers' MCG dominance, or will Damien Hardwick's men teach the Cats a lesson in wet-weather footy?

 

Carlton ($2.35) v Fremantle ($1.60)

Anchored to the bottom of the ladder with one win, the Blues will see this game as a fantastic opportunity to give their loyal fans a second reason to cheer this year.

They come up against the Dockers, who despite recording an upset win over the Crows last round, have a terrible record playing away from home.

Carlton have certainly been an improved outfit in the past two weeks. Respectable losses when playing away to the star-studded Cats and Swans looks to be a good form line coming into this one.

They will have to contend with a fired-up Fremantle side, who are boosted by the return of Nat Fyfe.

The Dockers themselves will be motivated for this clash, not wanting to suffer the embarrassment of losing to a side sitting on the bottom of the ladder. 

AFL Player In  Levi Casboult (Carlton), Nat Fyfe (Fremantle)

AFL Player Out  Alex Pearce (Fremantle), Michael Walters (Fremantle)

AFL Weather Up to 8mm of rain is forecast, which plays right into Carlton's hands. They are one of the league's few teams that historically play better in the wet.

 

Key AFL Stats

  • The Blues have covered the line in 6 of their last 8 day matches at Etihad Stadium.
  • The Dockers have won 6 of their last 7 away games against Carlton.
  • Fremantle have lost every game outside of Perth this year, by an average margin of 56 points.

 

AFL Betting Tip Betting Tip: Carlton to win head-to-head @ $2.35

 

Gold Coast ($2.25) v St Kilda ($1.65)

Both fresh off Round 12 beltings and licking their wounds at the tail-end of the ladder, Gold Coast and St Kilda have had a shocker of a season.

With half of their matches still to be played, both these clubs need to find something quickly, or risk carrying mental scars into the off-season.

This result in this game will come down to which team can put the past behind them and get back to basics.

With their home ground advantage, you'd be leaning towards the Suns, who need to not only save their season, but give fans a reason to attend their games. 

Don't write off the Saints though. If they can buck their trend of inaccuracy in front of goal, they have the capacity to win comfortably.

AFL Player In Sean Lemmens (Suns, likely)

AFL Player Out Jake Carlisle (St Kilda)

AFL Weather Fine. Won't play any role. 

 

Key AFL Stats

  • St Kilda have won 13 consecutive matches as a favourite following a loss in the previous round.
  • Each of the last 6 day matches between Gold Coast and St Kilda have been won by the favourite.
  • 7 of Gold Coast's last 8 day matches have gone UNDER the total match points line.

 

AFL Betting Tip Betting Tip: No bet. It's a toss-up as to who triumphs here. While the stats point to St Kilda, you couldn't back them on form. 

 

Hawthorn ($1.62) v Adelaide ($2.30)

Saturday night footy sees the Crows attempting to snap a worrying three-game losing streak against the Hawks at the MCG

For a team with minor-premiership aspirations, recent form suggests that Adelaide will struggle to even make the eight.

Last week's demoralising three-point loss to Fremantle was a new low-point for the typically high-flying Crows. They need to turn things around here, or risk facing an uphill battle to sneak a finals' berth.

Hawthorn are similarly gunning for a top eight spot. After a narrow victory over Port, the Hawks had a week off to recharge the batteries.

This freshness may prove the difference against an Adelaide outfit who have been injury-depleted and well-travelled in recent weeks.

Expect a tight game though.

AFL Player In None

AFL Player Out None

AFL Weather A high chance of rain and chilly temperatures. Hawthorn's home crowd advantage will be slightly diminished as fewer fans will turn up. 

Key AFL Stats

  • Hawthorn have covered the line in 32% of their home games after a win since 2015.
  • Adelaide have covered the line in 58% of their games since 2015.
  • The favourite has won 10 of the last 11 matches between these two clubs. 

 

AFL Betting Tip Betting Tip: Adelaide to cover the +8.5 point line @ $1.92

 

Geelong ($2.60) v Richmond ($1.50)

Cats fans must be cursing at their club's insistence of playing a portion of their home games at the MCG. This financially-motivated decision plays right into Richmond's hands, who haven't lost a game at the G since Round 13 last year. 

If this fixture was held down at Kardinia Park, you'd fancy the Cats. But playing the Tigers at Australia's premier stadium is a different kettle of fish.

Richmond seem to gain an extra gear at the G, and will only be boosted further by the expected return of Dustin Martin.

While the champagne midfield of Dangerfield, Ablett and Selwood has been good for the Cats, they are yet to all have top games on the same day.

This will need to change if Geelong want to snap Richmond's MCG winning-streak.

AFL Player In Dustin Martin (Richmond, likely), Daniel Rioli (Richmond, likely)

AFL Player Out David Astbury (Richmond, likely)

AFL Weather Cold and wet. Goal-scoring will be harder than usual, especially with two well-organised defences. 

 

Key AFL Stats

  • Geelong have won 13 of their last 14 clashes with Richmond.
  • The last time these teams met, Richmond triumphed by 51 points at the MCG.
  • In their 14-game MCG winning streak, the smallest margin Richmond have won by is 13 points.

 

AFL Betting Tip Betting Tip: Richmond to cover the -12.5 point line @ $1.92 

Share On:

Trending Racing & Sport News

Souths Cameron Murray

NRL Best Bets and Tips: Round 0

The 2024 NRL season commences in Las Vegas with an iconic double-header. This marks the league's foray into the United S.....

Feb 27, 2024 02:00PM
READ MORE right-arrow

NFL Superbowl2019

AFC Championship 2024 NFL Tips and Best Bets

Get ready for an brilliant weekend of NFL and it all kicks off with the AFC Championship match. The Baltimore Ravens and.....

Jan 24, 2024 11:00AM
READ MORE right-arrow

Los Angeles Rams

NFL Monday Night Football Tips and Best Bets 14/11/23

Buffalo Performance Review Entering Week 10, the Bills confront an unfamiliar playoff-less reality, a departure from Jos.....

Nov 14, 2023 10:00AM
READ MORE right-arrow

MLB Houston Astros Pitcher

MLB Betting Tips for NCLS Game 7 25/10/23

In the midst of an electrifying National League Championship Series, the Arizona Diamondbacks brace for a pivotal Game 7.....

Oct 24, 2023 05:00PM
READ MORE right-arrow

Sports Betting Topics


Tweets by @BettingNetworkA

More Sports & Racing news you might like

MLB Houston Astros Pitcher

MLB Betting Tips for NCLS Game 7 25/10/23

In the midst of an electrifying National League Championship Series, the Arizona Diamondbacks brace for a pivotal Game 7.....

READ MORE right-arrow

MLB Houston Astros Pitcher

MLB Tips for Game 7 NCLS 2023

In the midst of an electrifying National League Championship Series, the Arizona Diamondbacks brace for a pivotal Game 7.....

READ MORE right-arrow

New Orleans Minnesota Vikings

Free NFL Betting Preview 15/9/2021

The Philadelphia Eagles are gearing up to maintain their winning momentum in Week 2 as they take on the Minnesota Viking.....

READ MORE right-arrow

Pitsburgh Steelers Roethlisberger

Free NFL Betting Picks 25/8/2023

Preseason Football Matchup Analysis In the final preseason clash, the Pittsburgh Steelers (2-0, 2-0 ATS, 1-1 O/U) are se.....

READ MORE right-arrow

Boston RedSox Chris Sale

MLB Betting Picks: Best plays for All Star Game 2023

The 93rd edition of the Midsummer Classic will be played on Tuesday, July 11, at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. .....

READ MORE right-arrow

MLB Houston Astros Pitcher

MLB Betting Picks: Best plays for 7th June 2023

The upcoming game between the Houston Astros and the Toronto Blue Jays is set to be an exciting contest between two comp.....

READ MORE right-arrow

Copyright © 2024 S93 www.bettingnetworkaustralia.com.au

Stay in Control. For gambling help call 1800 858 858 or your local State gambling helpline, Gamblers Help, Mission Australia or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au. Users must be at least 18 years old.

www.bettingnetworkaustralia.com.au (the "site") is not a bookmaking or wagering website. As such the site does not provide bookmaking or wagering services. We are a tipping and information service site. If you choose to take tips or use information on this website, you acknowledge and agree that you will only wager with licensed service providers for your jurisdiction. For help call 1800 858 858 or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au. Our Terms and Conditions are listed here.

Feedback