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AFL Betting Tips Round 17: Sunday afternoon footy

Tagged: AFL

Bloods out for revenge

After losing to the Kangas earlier this year, and fresh off two defeats, the Swans will be out to make amends on Sunday afternoon.

Both Collingwood and Port Adelaide will look to continue their impressive winning streaks in Sunday's other two fixtures.

 

Missed our preview of Saturday night's games? Read it here

 

Collingwood v West Coast

AFL Odds: Collingwood $1.46 (-15.5) / West Coast $2.75 (+15.5)

Pies fans are surely brimming with confidence coming into this clash.

Heading into last week's encounter with Essendon, Collingwood had won six in-a-row. It looked like the streak was about to end, but they just managed to find another gear in the last quarter to kick away.

While West Coast have had a terrific season, surpassing all expectations, you can't see them being the team to snap Collingwood's winning streak.

Whether tall forwards Josh Kennedy and Jack Darling make a return from injury will be crucial to the Eagles chances.

Without them, West Coast won't have enough points to outscore Collingwood. 

The Pies have overcome every obstacle put in their path lately, and this hurdle doesn't seem to be as high as last weeks.

Unless they throw up a stinker, Collingwood's class in the midfield and forward line will be too much for the Eagles to handle.

 

AFL Player In  Travis Varcoe (Magpies), Tom Barass (West Coast), Josh Kennedy (West Coast, likely), Jack Darling (West Coast, likely)

 

AFL Player Out  None

 

 AFL Weather Sunny conditions, so this could turn into a shootout.

 

 

AFL Stats  AFL Stats in Focus

AFL Stats

With a significant advantage in three of the league's most important statistics, West Coast would need to pull off something special to win this one.

Key AFL Stat

  • West Coast have covered the line in only 1 of their last 8 games at the MCG.

 

AFL Betting Tip AFL Betting Tip: Collingwood to cover the -15.5 point line @ $1.92 

Reasoning: The Magpies are in unbelievable form and gunning for the minor premiership. Against an Eagles side who historically struggle at the G, this line will pose no problems.

 

Any idea who the best AFL celebrity tipsters are? Check out the celebrity tipster leaderboard here.

 

North Melbourne v Sydney

AFL Odds: North Melbourne $2.05 (+2.5) / Sydney $1.78 (-2.5)

It's not often the Swans lose three in-a-row. The last time it happened was their disastrous 0-6 start to 2017.

They will be looking to avoid that fate here when they come up against the Roos in Melbourne, who have already tasted victory in the reverse fixture earlier this year. 

While a lot has been made of Sydney's inability to create goal scoring opportunities of late, this is perhaps an overreaction.

Don't forget that the Swans came up against the Tigers and the Cats in their past two defeats- teams that have two of the best defences in 2018.

With a great away record this year, expect the Bloods to bounce back as they aim to secure a top four spot.

Standing in their way are 2018's overachievers, North Melbourne.

The Kangas have played at a consistent level all year. Last week's 37-point win over the struggling Suns was good, but not impressive enough to suggest they'll beat the Swans here.

AFL Player In Isaac Heeney (Swans), Tom Papley (Swans)

 

AFL Player Out: Jarrad McVeigh (Swans), Dan Hannebery (Swans), Kieren Jack (Swans)

 

 AFL Weather All clear on the weather front. The players alone will decide this one.

 

 

AFL Stats AFL Stats in Focus

AFL Stats

The battle between Big Ben and the Big Bud will not only go a long way to deciding the result in this game, but who takes home the Coleman medal at season's end.

Franklin's numbers are slightly better this year, so expect him to have the edge.

 

AFL Betting Tip  AFL Betting Tip: Sydney to win head-to-head @ $1.78

Reasoning: The Swans under John Longmire just aren't the sort of team to lose three on the trot, save the aberration to begin 2017. 

 

Fremantle v Port Adelaide

AFL Odds: Fremantle $3.78 (+24.5) / Port Adelaide $1.27 (-24.5)

The final game of Round 17 sees Fremantle attempt to end Port Adelaide's five-game winning streak.

Based on their recent performances and the continued absence of captain and star man Nat Fyfe, it's looking unlikely.

What is going for Fremantle is that it's a home game.

The Dockers have been dogged when playing at home this year, and only four games ago, defeated the other Adelaide side, the Crows, by three points at Optus Stadium.

While Port haven't been setting the world alight with their recent victories over Carlton and St Kilda, they have been comfortable in victory.

Against another struggling team, it looks like the Power will stutter to victory once again, all things being equal. 

AFL Player In None

 

AFL Player Out  Tom Jonas (Port)

 

 AFL Weather A medium chances of showers, which could reduce the scoring and keep the game tight.

 

 

AFL Stats AFL Stats in Focus

AFL Stats

This table is far from flattering for Freo's mids, who will need to work extra hard in the absence of Fyfe.

Coming up against Port's toughness in the contest, Fremantle will need to step up in a big way.

Key AFL Stat

  • Fremantle have covered the line in 8 of their last 12 home games following a loss in the previous round.

 

AFL Betting Tip AFL Betting Tip: Port Adelaide to win by a margin of 1-39 points @ $2.

Reasoning: While Freo will be determined to put in a redeeming performance at home, there is too big of a gap in form and individual quality to tip the Dockers.  

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