Analyst: Michael Gannon
Jul 11, 2019 07:57 AM
Best bets at Rosehill
Rosehill Gardens plays host to a competitive nine-race card on Saturday, with large fields providing plenty of value for punters.
The track is currently rated a Heavy 8, with the rail out 3m the entire circuit.
Fine weather is forecast in Sydney for the remainder of the week and an upgrade to a Soft 7 is likely.
This set-up will offer a fair racing surface for all runners.
Rosehill Race 1 Tip #4 Belitsa $10.00 each-way
Opposing the early money for the two favourites here and going with this filly from the Snowden yard.
Her last start second in a BM64 at Kembla Grange against the older horses was full of merit.
Drawn barrier eight of eight, she was restrained to sit mid-field without cover. She then peeled wide and hit the line well on a Heavy 10, doing her best work over the last 50m.
In positive signs for punters, she drops back to her own age here and is well suited by the step up to 1100m. The filly also has proven ability on the wet track and will strip fitter second-up.
From the inside draw, look for Christian Reith to hold a prominent position, taking the box seat on the rails behind the leader.
With even luck on turning for home, she'll be very hard to beat and looks well over the odds at the $10 quote.
Rosehill Race 4 Tip #10 Waking Moment $5.00
Chris Waller has turned this mare around and she now has her hoof firmly on the till.
Her last start second behind Toryjoy over the 1800m at Rosehill is enough to suggest she'll be more than competitive in this race.
The step-up to 2000m is a plus, as is the rain affected surface.
Now back against the boys, she drops 2kg and carries the feather weight of 51kg after the 1.5kg claim for gun apprentice Robbie Dolan.
From the soft draw in barrier three, look for Dolan to hold a more forward position in the run and sit three pairs back with cover.
She's weighted to win and gets out to her perfect trip with all the conditions in her favour. Yes!
Rosehill Race 5 Tip #3 Spiritual Pursuit $2.10
The classy filly from the Jason Coyle yard finds her way into this best bets column once again.
Her last start victory on a heavy Randwick track was impressive and she now gets back to her own sex, whilst staying in the same grade.
She'll be forced to carry an extra 2.5kg after the claim for Samantha Clenton, but looks to have far too much upside for her rivals.
Drawn barrier five, look for Clenton to push forward and take this race by the scruff of the neck.
With a class edge on the field and fitness on her side, expect Clenton to make every post a winner.