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Warriors RTS&SJ 270218

NRL Betting Tips Round 23: Key Stats for Sunday footy

Tagged: NRL

Hoodoos threaten NRL favourites on Sunday

Bulldogs Warriors

NRL Odds: Canterbury Bulldogs $2.42 (+4.5) / New Zealand Warriors $1.57 (-4.5)

The Bulldogs, hoping to avoid their first wooden spoon since 2008, will look to young-gun Lachlan Lewis to help produce the goods on Sunday at ANZ Stadium. 

The Doggies were in good form before Lewis succumbed to injury, resulting in him missing last week's game. With him in the line-up, the Dogs have shown plenty of bite, defeating top-eight contenders the Tigers and Broncos in consecutive weeks. 

The Warriors, with a consistent seven wins from 11 away games this season, will start firm favourites for this clash. Off the back of a strong win in Auckland against Newcastle last week, the Kiwis have their sights set firmly on a top-four position. 

The spine of Tuivasa-Scheck, Green, Johnson and Luke has found form in recent weeks, especially Isaac Luke, who has had few injury concerns this season.

With Luke back to full fitness, the Warriors are a force to be reckoned with. 

Warriors fans beware. Your team hasn't beaten the Bulldogs in Sydney since 2010 and will need to break an eight-year hoodoo this weekend for a chance at a top-four birth.

NRL Player In  L Lewis (Bulldogs)

NRL Player Out  M Frawley (Bulldogs)

NRL Weather  Fine and 16 degrees.

NRL Stats  Key NRL stats

  • Average points scored: Bulldogs 24.5 / Warriors 15.7
  • Average points conceded: Bulldogs 23.7 / Warriors 17.5
  • The Bulldogs have won three of their last five games against the Warriors

NRL Betting Tip Key NRL Betting Stats

  • 8 of the Warriors 13 wins have been by a margin of 1-12: Warriors 1-12+@ $3.00
  • Solomone Kata (3) leads the Warriors in first try scorers this season: Solomone Kata first try @ $13
  • Clashes at ANZ Stadium have averaged 35.7 total match points: Under match line of 42.5 points @ $1.90

NRL Betting Tip  NRL Betting Tip: New Zealand Warriors to win by a margin of 1-12@$3.00

Reasoning: There is no doubt that the Dogs are a better side with Lewis at five-eighth. However, with finals footy around the corner you'd expect an in-form Warriors to come out on top. 

 

Missed our preview of Super Saturday? Read it here

 

Raiders Roosters

NRL Odds: Canberra Raiders $2.70 (+6.5) / Sydney Roosters $1.47 (-6.5)

The Raiders continued their dismal form last week with a loss at home to the Tigers. The narrow 22-20 defeat was their fourth on the trot and enough to ensure that many fans are now questioning Ricky Stuart's coaching role. 

Canberra is one of the most out-of-form clubs in the league, having won only two of their past seven games, with those two wins against the equally last placed Cowboys and Bulldogs. 

In contrast, the Roosters, have won eleven of their last thirteen games, with four of those wins against top-eight teams. 

The Chooks showed they have more than one dimension to their attack, defeating the Bunnies without injured star five-eighth Luke Keary, who will miss the next two weeks.  

With Chooks enforcer Jared Waerea-Hargraves out with a rib injury for up to four weeks, Roosters coach Trent Robinson will be looking to QLD Origin front-rower Dylan Nappa to lead from the front. 

Roosters' fans beware. The Roosters have lost seven of their last nine matches at GIO Stadium, with their last win back in 2010. 

NRL Player In  E Guler (Raiders), N Butcher (Roosters)

NRL Player Out  J Murchie (Raiders), J Waerea-Hargreaves (Roosters)

NRL Weather  Mostly sunny and 12 degrees.

NRL Stats  Key NRL stats

  • Average points scored per game: Raiders 24.2 / Roosters 22.8
  • Average points conceded per game: Raiders 23.6 / Roosters 15.0
  • Canberra have won the last games against the Chooks, both at GIO Stadium

NRL Betting Tip Key NRL Betting Stats

  • Sydney have covered the line at 61.9% this season: Roosters -6.5 @ $1.90 
  • Latrell Mitchell (6) leads both clubs in first try scorers this season: Latrell Mitchell  first try @ $10
  • Clashes at GIO Stadium have averaged 42.1 total match points: Under match line of 43.5 points @ $1.90

NRL Betting Tip  NRL Betting Tip: Roosters to cover the line of -6.5 @ $1.90

Reasoning: While the Roosters have a poor record against the Raiders at GIO Stadium, it's unlikely that history will repeat this week. The Raiders have been poor at home this season winning only 50% of their games, all of which were against teams in the bottom-eight. 

With the minor premiership and a home final on the line, expect the Chooks to come out firing, proving too classy in the latter stages of this game. 

                                                                             NRL Betting Tip  = High Confidence

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