NRL betting strategy using TAB intel
Sep 5, 2018 08:30 AM
Author: Michael Gannon
Whatever way you look at it punters are up against a giant when trying to beat bookmakers on NRL markets.
It's the time poor punter against an army of NRL quantitative mathematics experts who have historical data on tap. It's enough to make you throw in the towel and revert to other forms of betting.
Before you do we're giving limited access to an expert NRL betting strategy that uses bookie intel to beat them at their game here.
Good news - our expert NRL analysts have completed their testing on a method that uses the TAB, and other bookmaker's NRL expertise, against them to drive a higher yielding bet for punters with great results.
We're giving limited free access to the NRL betting method here.
Alternatively read on to learn more about the reasoning behind this ingenious NRL betting strategy.
Where the Bookmaker's NRL intel hides
The amazing thing about our NRL betting strategy is that the intelligence it uses is hiding amongst the betting markets on the TAB and other bookmakers' NRL betting pages.
As crazy as it sounds. All the hard work performed by armies of mathematical experts at bookmakers all over Australia, gets published on their own betting pages. It's just a matter of identifying where it is and then knowing how to use it.
Three of the biggest markets that the Bookmaker's NRL analysts focus their analytical efforts towards are:
- Head to head
- Game line (head starts) and
- Total match points line
These three markets represent a lion share of the turnover for any NRL game which bookmakers cover. For this reason, they apply a significant amount of resources and intelligence towards getting it right.
The key objectives for the expert analysis performed by each bookmaker's trading team includes:
- Odds which reflect the teams chance of winning the game less the bookmaker's margin in the Head-to-Head market
- The point start in the Line Game market, so that it accurately reflects the advantage that one team has over the other
- The total points scored line, so that it accurately reflects the attacking and defensive capabilities of the two teams in the contest for the Total Match Points market
The bookmaker is clearly displaying these critical outcomes from their analysis for all to see. The problem the punter has to solve is - How to bet more effectively armed with this information? As these markets have a considerable margin for the bookie built into them.
The Bookmaker's Margin
For example the line offered above gives the punter $1.90 for each option, Melbourne or Souths. That market represents a 5.26% margin to the bookie No value on offer to the punter there.
Same margin applies to the Total Score market where $1.90 is offered for both outcomes.
Every bookie you try has a very similar offering for these markets. At best you might get a slightly lower margin. Still no value to the punter.
So how can punters use the bookies' NRL intelligence on display here and receive much greater value?
Find out here
We have limited access to this article to prevent any significant impact on prices.