• Join
  • Login
  • BNA Twitter
  • BNA Facebook
  • 02:55:18 AEST
  • Monday, 18 December 2017

Punters' Post Mortem 25 November 2017


Smart ones, good runs, top jockeys & the ones to forget

Group One racing returned to the West Coast on Saturday, as Ascot played host to the feature race meeting on the weekend racing calendar. The track played fair, with winners coming from behind and from the leading group with tempo proving to be the key factor for on-pace winners.

Rosehill played as expected, with speedsters going forward and proving hard to run down, whilst winners came from everywhere in races with little tempo.

The Ballarat track rating was turned on its head with a heavy downpour after the second race causing a downgrade from a Good 4 to a Heavy 8. Still no bias was noted for the remaining eight races on the card.

Punters got it right

The price plunge for Via Balciano in the second race at Ballarat was spot on. The gelding opened at $14 before early market support saw him drop to $9. Punters continued to follow the Lloyd Kennewell trained galloper, firming into $7 before they jumped, half the quote of its opening price. Via Balciano backed up punters’ intuitions in style, flashing home late to make it two wins from three starts.

Punters got it wrong

Punters backed Plague Stone in Race 1 at Rosehill like it was unbeatable, crunching it into $1.35 from $1.70 openers.

But as we see all too often in these two-year-old races, race experience tends to play a big role in the outcome. Secret Lady was one of two horses in the race who had a career start and led from start to finish, while Plague Stone over raced in the early stages of the race and couldn’t catch pass the leader in the home straight

Hats off

Kerrin McEvoy continued his hot streak after an outstanding ride on the drifting favourite Miss Dubois in the seventh at Rosehill.

Jumping from the widest barrier of 17, McEvoy was able put himself into a perfect position in the run, making his way in-field to settle one off the rails. He peeled around them at the top of the straight and allowed Miss Dubois to use her superior turn of foot to take a convincing 0.8 length victory.

Rachel Hunt stole race 8 at Rosehill aboard rank outsider Don’t Tease Me, scooting out to the front on a quick horse and not giving the others a chance.

It was smart riding from the Canberra based jockey who played to the gelding’s strengths, managing to hold off heavily backed favourite Bon Amis. Brenton Avdulla then mirrored Hunt’s ride in the following race aboard Dreamforce. Advulla commented after the race that he had observed Hunt’s tactics, proving it pays to watch what others are doing on good 3 tracks.

One to forget

Tom Melbourne - like the mate who keeps promising the world but delivers an atlas.

As the favourite in an inferior field compared to previous runs, Tom Melbourne was afforded all the favours in the Railway Stakes box seating for the entire trip on the rails. When the gap opened in the home straight, poor old Tom just couldn’t give punters what they wanted to see, being overrun by veteran Black Heart Bart and winner Great Shot.

If you haven’t already, be sure to mark down Tom Melbourne as “never to be backed again”.

Track Star

It’s rare to find a Track Star coming from the first race of a card, but Secret Lady’s run at Rosehill was a clear stand out. The Gary Portelli trained filly was very tough going all the way in front, and never looking the loser.

She rewarded punters who stuck with her off the back of a great first up effort.

Ones to watch

Gaulois continues to race without luck after drawing yet another poor barrier. Racing in the WA Guineas, the James Cummings trained galloper was afforded no favours in the run but still found a way to fight on strong, finishing 2.5L fourth.

Given a soft run in transit, expect Gaulois to show his true potential next preparation.

La Pomme de Pin was very impressive streaking away to win easily in the fourth race at Ballarat, franking the form around Long Leaf whom the filly lost out to in her previous start.  

Keep an eye on Orcein next start as the colt ran home strongly in the first as at Rosehill, making up a huge amount of ground to finish an improving third after being last on the turn.

Share On:

Top Stories

Early Mail for Randwick & Caulfield from Matt Buckland

Randwick will be in ideal condition tomorrow after a six-week break from racing. There were showers in Sydney on Thursda.....

Dec 15, 2017 04:07PM
READ MORE

Form guide finds & speed map special 16 Dec 2017

We’ve found two horses who have gone under the bookies’ radar this week as well as a runner getting track fa.....

Dec 15, 2017 02:04PM
READ MORE

Punters' Post Mortem 9 Dec 2017

The Rosehill track held up well with no bias evident as we saw winners come from everywhere. This was a welcome surprise.....

Dec 12, 2017 03:06PM
READ MORE

Kingston Town Classic 2017 race preview

The final Group 1 race of the year, The Kingston Town Classic, runs at Ascot on Saturday under weight-for-age (WFA).....

Dec 08, 2017 04:22PM
READ MORE

Betting Offers

click and get your bonus today!

* T's and C's apply to all offers.


Racing & Sports News Topics


Tweets by @BettingNetworkA


Yesterday's Racing Top 5

addyfro
Punter
713% POT
DagPrez13
Pro
310% POT
Brashyq
Punter
273% POT
LeoBar
Punter
230% POT
Full Leaderboard
Glenn Munsie
570% POT
Brett Moody
560% POT
Paul Richard..
480% POT
Boo
410% POT
Matthew Hill
360% POT
 
Glenn Munsie 570% POT
Paul Richard.. 480% POT
Boo 410% POT
Matthew Hill 360% POT
Michael Maxw.. 220% POT
 

Next to Jump

More news you might like

Kingston Town Classic 2017 race preview

The final Group 1 race of the year, The Kingston Town Classic, runs at Ascot on Saturday under weight-for-age (WFA).....

READ MORE

Speed map specials 9 Dec 2017

Rosehill Race 1 #1 Gongs Drawn wide but possesses plenty of early toe, enabling her to jump and lead with ease. The sig.....

READ MORE

Form guide finds 9 Dec 2017

Our team looks for horses with key form facts which have been overlooked by bookmakers when pricing their markets. Check.....

READ MORE

Early Mail for Rosehill from Matt Buckland 9 Dec 2017

Rosehill is currently rated a soft 5, after Sydney received showers throughout the week. Expect the turf to dry up .....

READ MORE

Smith reaches rugby league Nirvana

Kangaroos skipper Cameron Smith is our Weekend Wonder after leading Australia to Rugby League World Cup glory over .....

READ MORE

Mud lark salutes, favourite flops & Group 1 glory

It was tough going for punters on Saturday as the weather wreaked havoc in the eastern states. Sandown was a battle of a.....

READ MORE

Copyright © 2017 S93 www.bettingnetworkaustralia.com.au | Stay in Control. Gamble responsibly.
Feedback