Analyst: James Beeson
Feb 03, 2018 03:00 PM
Knock Knock. Who's there? Can't. Can't who? Can't win.
Our Saturday racing ‘Lays of the Day’ are runners who we’ve identified as false favourites and are prepared to knock in a particular race. Odds are influenced by many factors in the market and may not always present a true reflection of each horse’s chance of winning a race.
We've found two lays on Saturday, one each at Rosehill and Morphettville.
Rosehill Race 4 #7 Flow $2.20
Represents the perfect profile for a decent lay in the fourth at Rosehill. There was a huge market and track tout push for this Godolphin runner last week and he did win impressively against very moderate opposition. He is second-up on Saturday and facing much stronger competition.
Is already well found again at the current quote of $2.20 and bookies will be looking to get plenty out of him at that price. Expect your taxi driver to tip him to you on the way to the track and the starting price to be much longer than what is currently being offered.
Morphettville Race 4 #1 Plutocracy $2.60
Looks way under the odds here at the current quote of $2.60. It’s never a good sign when Team Hayes opt to field a runner in perceived lesser quality fields in Adelaide instead of taking it to Melbourne.
There would be question marks on how this fellow has come back and what he’s showing at home and there is enough quality in this field to suggest he won’t find it easy first-up. Expecting a market drift with big wraps on the Phillip Stokes runner Eclair Sunshine and Weir's hope Avanti Rose.