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EarlyMarketMovers

Market movers in early betting 11 August 2018


Volatile betting sparks punter interest

A relatively quiet day for the early market movers last week although we did manage to identify one for punters at Mooney Valley, with You’ve Been Had getting up in Race 4 on the card.

This week Melbourne racing returns to Headquarters at Flemington where betting suggests a few runners have been marked over the odds early. Rosehill also provides our Sydney hunting ground, with a number of runners volatile in early betting.

 

Rosehill Tips from Market Movers

Rosehill tips

Jet Girl  

Has been running well in country grade winning her last two races impressively. That form warrants a crack at a Highway race in town and the D Mirfin stable must have her flying on the training track to explain this strong support in betting.

She maps beautifully from gate 1 and has the services of gun hoop Blake Shinn who will control it on the speed. Yes.

 

Sweet Scandal

Is building an impressive CV at the midweeks where she has put up the picket fence of 3 wins. Loves to race on or close to speed and although drawn a touch wide in gate 7, she has plenty of tactical speed to burn across and be in the leading division here. All reports are she could be something very special. Money looks spot on. 

 

Trekking

A Godolphin hope who the stable had a huge opinion of as a 2yo (ran in the Golden Slipper), then came out and ran in a number of high quality stakes grade affairs as a 3 yo.

He looks to be back on track as a 4yo with a nice win midweek at Warwick Farm last start and a recent trial win to ready for this. Clearly the class runner and betting markets have reacted strongly in his favour.

 

Carzoff

Will settle midfield from gate 8 and should be reaching peak fitness following two sound runs back this preparation. Love the fact he is dropping back in distance, and with good speed engaged out wide, suspect he will get the tempo to run on hard at the finish.

Based on the early market move it would appear the betting syndicates have him marked much shorter than most. Can run over the top of them all late.

 

Flow

Has been up all Winter and been in the money at 6 of his past 7 runs. The key here is race fitness and he looks to have a significant edge on most of his rivals in the race, many of which are first-up or very early in their prep.

He will push forward and ensure the tempo is genuine, giving the fresh horses no respite throughout. Can grind the horses kicking off their campaigns into the ground.

 

Flemington Tips from Market Movers

Flemington Tips

Prezado  

Has always been fancied as a quality sprinter and can prove his worth down the famed Flemington straight.

Last start he appeared to be in the wrong part of the track when finishing 6 of 9 over 1100m at this track. He has won over the 1000m here previously and that looks the preferred distance.

He Gets Damien Lane this time in and draws on the right side of the track in gate 9 to take up a stalking position and present late to win.

 

Bellarina

Loves this distance (9:3-2-1) and finds a race that looks weak on paper. With the lethal Weir and “Frosty” combination, she will cruise across from a midfield draw to position in the moving line where Damien Lane can peel wide mid-way down the straight and rattle home late. Betting alone says yes!

 

Poetic Dream 

Is a massive push in early betting nationwide firming from an opening quote of $7.00 all the way in to $4.50. Team Hayes know when to back one, and the stable would have spread the word this runner is ready to fire for the first up assignment. Entering at this level first up shows great confidence and this represents an excellent lead for punters.

Should go very close. 

 

Al Galayel

Is building an excellent strike rate (7:3-0-1) and can continue that record here in a race where he should receive significant speed map favours.

From gate 7 D Lane can let the speed horses go from out wide and tuck in behind for a tow the whole trip. If the speed is hot he will simply peel out and run right over the top late. Yes. 

 

We've got more horse racing tips in our Tip Market. Tipsters include some of the biggest racing names in Australia.

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