• Join
  • Login
  • BNA Twitter
  • BNA Facebook
  • 06:53:44 AEST
  • Sunday, 16 December 2018
Collingwood Jordan DeGoey

AFL Betting Tips Round 16 Preview: Sunday's Games

Tagged: AFL

Three games that have huge bearing on the eight

All three Sunday games involve a team embroiled in the tight battle to make the top eight.

While the Kangaroos should prevail comfortably against the Suns, the other two fixtures are anyone's to win.

Essendon need to triumph over rivals Collingwood to keep their slim finals chances alive at the MCG.

Meanwhile in Perth, the Eagles will need to overcome the midfield talent of GWS in order to snap a 3-game losing streak.


Missed our preview of the Saturday games? Read it here


North Melbourne v Gold Coast

AFL Odds: Kangaroos $1.10 (-48.5) / Suns $7 (+48.5)

With a third of the season to play, the race for the top 8 is on like Donkey Kong.

North Melbourne are one of the four teams sitting on 32 points on the cusp of the top eight, with only a poor percentage to blame for their top 8-absence. 

This game against the struggling Suns is not only a must win, but a fantastic opportunity to win by a sizeable margin and boost their finals chances in the process.

Despite going down to the Bombers last week, the Kangaroos should be far too good for Gold Coast.

If the Kangas get the hop on the Suns early on, they could definitely run away with the game and win by upwards of 50 points.

The Suns meanwhile don't score enough points to be realistic chances here. While they can thank their early season form for their third-from last position on the ladder, they are playing like a team that deserves the wooden spoon.


AFL Player In None


AFL Player Out None


 AFL Weather Rain is forecast so the roof will probably  be closed. Scoring will be easier which could help the Suns, though not enough to change the result.


AFL Stats AFL Stats in focus

AFL Stats

Gold Coast's goal-scoring stats makes for depressing reading for fans of the battling club. There's no way you could tip them based on these alone.

Key AFL Stat

  • The Suns have only covered the line in 35% of their games when playing interstate after a loss since 2015.


AFL Betting Tip AFL Betting Tip: North Melbourne to cover the -48.5 point line @ $1.92

Reasoning: The Suns can't kick enough goals to keep up with the Kangas here. It's a big line, but the Roos need percentage.


Essendon v Collingwood

AFL Odds: Bombers $2.30 (+8.5) / Magpies $1.62 (-8.5)

The game of the round sees rivals Essendon and Collingwood do battle in front of a huge MCG crowd.

While the Magpies have been superb all year, the Bombers have been disappointing. This has changed however in the last month, where Essendon have turned their season around and are playing at the high level that many expected of them in the pre-season.

If any bolter is to make the eight, it'll be the Bombers who are desperate to avoid the cliche of too little, too late.

A win against the second-placed Pies will only galvanise their finals push, which will be boosted by the return of star forward Joe Daniher in coming weeks.

Collingwood meanwhile don't need to concern themselves too much with the scramble to make the eight. Instead, they will be gunning for the minor premiership, which would send their large supporter base into raptures.

While their standard has dipped somewhat in the last few weeks, they have still won six on the trot. However, you get the sense that a loss is just around the corner.


AFL Player In Travis Varcoe (Collingwood, likely)


AFL Player Out Lynden Dunn (Collingwood)


 AFL Weather Light showers forecast, which shouldn't impact the game too much.


AFL Stats AFL Stats in focus

AFL Stats

This table demonstrates part of why Essendon have finally started hitting the winner's board in recent times.

Their disposal efficiency has been consistently and significantly higher than their 2018 average.

If this continues against the Pies, whose efficiency by hand and foot is showing signs of dropping off, expect Essendon to get the four points.

Key AFL Stat

  • The Bombers have won 4 of their last 6 matches played in July.


AFL Betting Tip AFL Betting Tip: Essendon to win head-to-head @ $2.30

Reasoning: The Bombers look to be back to their best and that should be enough to get them home in a close one.


West Coast v GWS

AFL Odds: Eagles $1.62 (-6.5) / Giants $2.35 (+6.5)

Round 16 concludes with another cracker game, as the 3rd-placed Eagles play host to the 6th-placed Giants.

West Coast have lost three games in-a-row and are desperate to snap that streak. If they want to secure the coveted 'double-chance' that comes with finishing in the top four, they will need to turn their form around.

Much of this slump is owing to the absence of big forwards Jack Darling and Josh Kennedy through injury.

Their injury-riddled forward line is also expected to deal with the continued omission of the experienced Mark Lecras.

But the Eagles have no right to complain of injuries when facing the Giants, who have had the worst luck of any team in the comp.

Even with so many of their stars out, the Giants continued their resurgence last week with a solid win over Hawthorn.

While it's always a challenge to win against the Eagles in Perth, the Giants are too strong in the midfield to go down here.


AFL Player In None


AFL Player Out None


 AFL Weather Fine conditions for footy. The players will decide this one.


AFL Stats AFL Stats in focus

AFL Stats

As the Eagles won't get the advantage from their forward line that they're used to, the game will come down to the midfield. The Giants' midfield numbers suggest they'll get the job done here, coming up trumps in each of the key statistical metrics.

Key AFL Stat

  • GWS have won 3 of their last 4 games against West Coast.


AFL Betting Tip AFL Betting Tip: GWS to win head-to-head @ $2.35

Reasoning: GWS' recent form and mifield superiority will have them winning here.

Share On:

Trending Racing & Sport News

Lakers Lebron James2

Free NBA Picks: Best bets for Friday games 14 December 2018

Another bunch of interesting Friday fixtures is highlighted by the battle between two of the NBA's biggest stars. .....

Dec 13, 2018 10:32AM
READ MORE right-arrow

Liverpool Salah Firmino

EPL Tips: Match Week 17

The EPL was turned on its head last week when Liverpool leapfrogged Man City to the summit of the ladder. The Reds wi.....

Dec 13, 2018 08:06PM
READ MORE right-arrow

Form Guide Lay

Saturday racing Lays of the Day 15 December 2018

This week we focus on two runners that have built up an excellent record in the lower grades, however are forced to tack.....

Dec 13, 2018 03:10PM
READ MORE right-arrow

Flemington Straight

Flemington Tips: best bets and previews

Racing returns to Flemington on Saturday following the Spring Carnival and will host a card that has attracted some dece.....

Dec 13, 2018 02:56PM
READ MORE right-arrow

Betting Offers

click and get your bonus today!


Racing & Sports Betting Topics

Tweets by @BettingNetworkA

Sports Expert Tipster Top 5

Mark Geyer
Triple M
240 Pts $ 210.7
Phil Gould
Channel 9
234 Pts $ 210.3
Phil Rothfie..
Daily telegraph
234 Pts $ 197.6
Nick Walshaw
Daily telegraph
232 Pts $ 189.2
Matt Logue
Daily telegraph
232 Pts $ 188.1
Full NRL Leaderboard
Chris Cavana..
Herald Sun
275 Pts $ 209.5
Sarah Jones
Fox Sports
271 Pts $ 198.0
Gerard Whate..
Fox Footy
269 Pts $ 201.8
Dermott Brer..
Fox Footy
269 Pts $ 198.0
Jon Ralph
Herald Sun
269 Pts $ 197.1
Full AFL Leaderboard

Top Horse Racing Tipsters

371% POT
309% POT
270% POT
250% POT
171% POT
Full Leaderboard
BJ Ryan
213% POT
James Tait
197% POT
Alan Pearce
159% POT
Nick Quinn
121% POT
David Gately
121% POT
BJ Ryan 213% POT
James Tait 197% POT
Alan Pearce 159% POT
Nick Quinn 121% POT
Tony Thomas 82% POT

Next Race to Jump

More Sports & Racing news you might like

Flemington Straight

Flemington Tips: best bets and previews

Racing returns to Flemington on Saturday following the Spring Carnival and will host a card that has attracted some dece.....

READ MORE right-arrow

Villiers Stakes

Randwick Racing: best bets for Villiers Stakes Day 2018

A great card has been assembled at Royal Randwick this Saturday, with the Group 2 Villiers Stakes to be run over th.....

READ MORE right-arrow

Our Big Mike

Saturday Racing Review 8 December 2018

Track Stars Pakenham Star Fall was given a lovely ride from L Meech in the opener, rating him perfectly up on the.....

READ MORE right-arrow

Bookie Ring 060218

Free Horse Racing Tips for Saturday racing 8 December 2018

Tracks This is the last of six weeks of Saturday racing at Rosehill before we return to Randwick for Villiers day. .....

READ MORE right-arrow


Early market movers for 8 December 2018

Last week no fewer than 6 of 8 early market mover selections saluted for readers of this column. Punters who took the od.....

READ MORE right-arrow

NBA Utah Jazz Ingles

Free NBA Picks: Best bets for Friday games 8 December 2018

The three NBA games taking place on Friday all present interesting betting opportunities for punters. First up, the K.....

READ MORE right-arrow

Copyright © 2018 S93 www.bettingnetworkaustralia.com.au | Stay in Control. Gamble responsibly.