• Join
  • Login
  • BNA Twitter
  • BNA Facebook
  • 21:08:15 AEST
  • Tuesday, 19 March 2024
  • Gamble Responsibly 18+
Pumped Up Bet

Sports Betting Tips: Pumped Up Punt of the Week 28 July 2018

Tagged: NRL

Cognitive bias to fool mug punters

Melbourne Storm V Canberra Raiders 

The Melbourne Storm fit the classic “banana skin” profile for the mug punters this week, coming off the back of 7 straight wins where they have not lost since Round 11.

Interestingly, the Round 11 loss was at home ground AAMI Park against the Sea Eagles, where they face the Raiders this week.  

This match will impose a classic trait on some whereby the cognitive bias will kick in for most mug punters, influencing their thought process and manifesting a sub conscious thought dynamic which declares “the Storm can’t lose this”.

Bookies are well aware of this bias and will have the Storm price even further under-value, to accommodate the expected heavy investment of public money. 

The travel fatigue with Storm players on the road the past week including a New Zealand visit, will also add to the Raiders' chances and is another factor which is commonly disregarded by most of the public money investment in betting.

If we go back to the Storm's last loss in Round 11 at AAMI Park, this followed a similar profile where the team had returned from a gruelling away schedule to the Gold Coast and Sydney (where they won both).

Granted Storm talisman Cam Smith was missing in that game however a Manly side low on confidence managed a 20 point victory on that occasion. Whilst it does not always translate to a loss upon return home, the fatigue of travel is still a significant factor.

Added motivation for Canberra will come from the controversial loss to the Sharks last week where Ricky Stuart led the outpouring of grief and disappointment in a well-publicised post-match press conference where he was simply disgusted in the match officials' performance.

These emotional flashpoints do have the ability to galvanise the playing group for the following week and if the Raiders can draw from this, extra effort should be present.

Bet against the mug money and take the value side in betting, which will be the Raiders.

 

NRL Betting Tip NRL Betting Tip: Raiders to cover the line (+9.5) @ $1.90

Share On:

Trending Racing & Sport News

NFL Superbowl2019

AFC Championship 2024 NFL Tips and Best Bets

Get ready for an brilliant weekend of NFL and it all kicks off with the AFC Championship match. The Baltimore Ravens and.....

Jan 24, 2024 11:00AM
READ MORE right-arrow

Los Angeles Rams

NFL Monday Night Football Tips and Best Bets 14/11/23

Buffalo Performance Review Entering Week 10, the Bills confront an unfamiliar playoff-less reality, a departure from Jos.....

Nov 14, 2023 10:00AM
READ MORE right-arrow

MLB Houston Astros Pitcher

MLB Betting Tips for NCLS Game 7 25/10/23

In the midst of an electrifying National League Championship Series, the Arizona Diamondbacks brace for a pivotal Game 7.....

Oct 24, 2023 05:00PM
READ MORE right-arrow

MLB Houston Astros Pitcher

MLB Tips for Game 7 NCLS 2023

In the midst of an electrifying National League Championship Series, the Arizona Diamondbacks brace for a pivotal Game 7.....

Oct 24, 2023 05:00PM
READ MORE right-arrow

Sports Betting Topics


Tweets by @BettingNetworkA

More Sports & Racing news you might like

MLB Houston Astros Pitcher

MLB Tips for Game 7 NCLS 2023

In the midst of an electrifying National League Championship Series, the Arizona Diamondbacks brace for a pivotal Game 7.....

READ MORE right-arrow

New Orleans Minnesota Vikings

Free NFL Betting Preview 15/9/2021

The Philadelphia Eagles are gearing up to maintain their winning momentum in Week 2 as they take on the Minnesota Viking.....

READ MORE right-arrow

Pitsburgh Steelers Roethlisberger

Free NFL Betting Picks 25/8/2023

Preseason Football Matchup Analysis In the final preseason clash, the Pittsburgh Steelers (2-0, 2-0 ATS, 1-1 O/U) are se.....

READ MORE right-arrow

Boston RedSox Chris Sale

MLB Betting Picks: Best plays for All Star Game 2023

The 93rd edition of the Midsummer Classic will be played on Tuesday, July 11, at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. .....

READ MORE right-arrow

MLB Houston Astros Pitcher

MLB Betting Picks: Best plays for 7th June 2023

The upcoming game between the Houston Astros and the Toronto Blue Jays is set to be an exciting contest between two comp.....

READ MORE right-arrow

Boston RedSox Chris Sale

MLB Betting Picks: Best plays for 23rd May 2023

This Tuesday, a really intriguing matchup sees the Detroit Tigers head to Kansas City to take on the Royals. The Royals.....

READ MORE right-arrow

Copyright © 2024 S93 www.bettingnetworkaustralia.com.au

Stay in Control. For gambling help call 1800 858 858 or your local State gambling helpline, Gamblers Help, Mission Australia or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au. Users must be at least 18 years old.

www.bettingnetworkaustralia.com.au (the "site") is not a bookmaking or wagering website. As such the site does not provide bookmaking or wagering services. We are a tipping and information service site. If you choose to take tips or use information on this website, you acknowledge and agree that you will only wager with licensed service providers for your jurisdiction. For help call 1800 858 858 or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au. Our Terms and Conditions are listed here.

Feedback