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Form Lay

Saturday racing Lays of the Day 25 January 2020

Tagged: James Beeson

Aussie Stakes favourite up against it

This week’s edition of Lays Of the Day focuses on two runners that may struggle to race to their preferred on-speed profiles.

Both selections appear unsuited in their respective fields, based on their barrier and where the other speed horses are drawn.

Expect the professional syndicates to risk them as we approach start time and the large flows of money are exchanged. 

 

Friday Moonee Valley Race 7 #1 Hey Doc $2.50

Has drawn the dreaded one marble over the short course at Moonee Valley. He will need to hunt up vigorously early to hold the position, or risk being buried back along the inside throughout the run.

Most of the big model players have a significant negative mark against those horses drawn barrier 1 at Moonee Valley over 1200m.  The extra speed drawn to Hey Doc's outside is sure to add merit to their view here.

Begood Toya Mother and Ashlor will both be keen to charge across the face of the field and this will pour the pressure on the inside runners.

Any hesitation at the start and Hey Doc could find it very hard to find clean air at the business end. 

Expect a market drift close to jump as liquidity builds and the big players take him on. Lay. 

 

Saturday Caulfield Race 8 #5 Yulong January $2.70

Has been up for a while now, with this being his sixth start this prep. That means he is getting closer to a “stale run” and I’m predicting that this will be it.

He faces an ugly speed map where from gate 7, I doubt they will find the lead with his customary ease.

There is speed drawn to his inside, with both Snitzcraft and Streets Of Avalon likely to punch up.

Out wide, the other on-pace types Sircconi and Cradle Mountain are sure to be marked urgent from the gates.  

He is yet to taste success in four attempts in stakes grade racing and strikes some well performed Group class horses here.

Expect a market drift out beyond $3.00. Avoid. 

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