Analyst: James Beeson
Apr 13, 2018 07:16 AM
Oaks favourite set impossible task
Very keen to oppose one in the Oaks this week based on what looks likely to be a slowly run race. We have also found a hyped up Godolphin 3yo sprinter, who whilst back in grade, still has to line up against plenty of quality.
Randwick Race 5 #1 Viridine
Has come up way under the odds as $3.30 favourite in the Arrowfield Sprint for 3yo’s. Ran well at Group 1 level against the older horses last start, where he chased hard to grab third behind the smart In Her Time. Can appreciate that back to his own age will suit, however the 3yo quality entered in this is very high, with some proven superstars including a Golden Slipper winner and a Magic Millions winner, who looks to be back to her best after posting a nice win here last week.
The SP profile last start when backed all the way through betting in the Galaxy did indicate he is showing plenty, however taking $3.30 when looking at the quality engaged is this field would be very brave. Will be getting back with a real chance of being posted. Lay.
Randwick Race 6 #3 Unforgotten
Going to strongly oppose the Oaks favourite here who comes up a $4.20 chance with betting operators, in a race where she will be getting well back in the field. The race is devoid of any genuine speed, aside from Hiyaam who should just jump and dictate to them all. Simply cannot see how this filly can get home over the top when they will likely be going at a snails pace.
Can envisage Bowman making a mid race move on her, but they will have plenty of time to see him coming and simply kick up to post her wide. Some maps have Chilly Cha Cha taking on Hiyaam for the lead, however they would have to be very brave to do that. A huge chance that she will miss the boat and very happy to take her on at the current quote which appears massive unders.