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North Melbourne Ben Brown 2018

AFL Odds: Latest Brownlow & Coleman Medal Odds as at 24 July 2018

Tagged: AFL Odds

Mitchell & Brown's to lose

With runaway favouritism for the Brownlow and Coleman medals respectively, Hawthorn's Tom Mitchell and North Melbourne's Ben Brown look to be near unbeatable for the two most prestigious individual prizes. 

But nothing is guaranteed, especially with the Brownlow, where plenty of unorthodox challengers have emerged.

 

Brownlow Medal odds

Tom Mitchell

AFL Odds: $2

The Hawthorn ball-magnet enjoys strong favouritism partly due to a lack of competition from fellow mids, but mostly because he continues to stand head and shoulders above his Hawthorn teammates as their best player.

Whenever the Hawks get a win, Mitchell will invariably find himself in the votes.

With more disposals than any other player in the comp, you could argue that Mitchell has been the most influential player this year and a deserved Bownlow contender.

If he avoids suspension and has a few more standout performances in the last five rounds, the Brownlow looks to be all but wrapped up.

Prediction: Brownlow winner.

 

Max Gawn

AFL Odds: $8

At 208 centimetres, Melbourne ruckman Max Gawn is certainly a departure from the recent trend of ball-winning midfielders being the only realistic contenders for the Brownlow. 

Aside from performing his ruckwork with distinction and leading the comp with most hitouts, it is Gawn's ability to play a significant role in other aspects of the game that make him a genuine Brownlow contender.

When the ball hits the ground, Gawn becomes another midfielder, averaging 17 disposals a game.

But it is also Gawn's marking ability in the forward line that makes him such a valuable player.

Prediction: Brownlow runner-up.

 

Stephen Coniglio

AFL Odds: $51

For a juicy piece of value, look no further than GWS's Stephen Coniglio, who is way over the odds at $51. 

For a team likely to finish in the top four, logic says that the Giants will receive their fair share of Brownlow votes.

And in superb midfield, Coniglio has been the standout. On top of his midfield duties, he has also gone forward and kicked 14 goals, which is a great return for a midfielder. 

And in the Melbourne-centric AFL media, Coniglio from the often disregarded and maligned Giants has flown well under the radar. 

Prediction: Brownlow third place.

 

Patrick Cripps

AFL Odds: $9

Another interesting contender and the third favourite to take home the Brownlow is young Carlton midfielder Patrick Cripps. 

Cripps has been the Blues only shining light in 2018. He leads the competition in contested possessions, even though the Blues are ranking last in that statistic.

You'd think that almost all of the Blues' Brownlow votes will fall to Cripps.

However, the question to ponder is how the umpires have voted this year.

Usually, a team with only one win that has been on the receiving end of plenty of thrashings won't register many votes at all.

In a normal year, Cripps wouldn't even make the top ten.

But with such standout performances in such an ordinary side, the money is saying that the umps will reward Cripps's impressive efforts. 

Prediction: Brownlow top ten.

 

Coleman Medal odds

Ben Brown

AFL Odds: $1.10

Ten goals ahead of his next best rival, and showing no signs of slowing down, North Melbourne's cult hero with the long run-up will have to go missing to miss out on the Coleman this year.

With a relatively breezy run home for the Kangas, Brown will be relishing the opportunity to not only maintain but extend his lead in the Coleman race.

Prediction: The only realistic chance, but not worth the bet at those odds.

 

Lance Franklin

AFL Odds: $7

While you can never write off the big Bud, who is more than capable of kicking bags of ten on his day, it doesn't look like Lance will win the Coleman this year.

Buddy has gone a little quiet in previous weeks and didn't manage a goal in the Swans' disaster against the Suns.

Nevertheless, Buddy remains key to Sydney's premiership chances, which will definitely mean more to the big forward than the Coleman.  

Prediction: Not in good enough form to bet on.

 

Tom Hawkins

AFL Odds: $15

After arguably a career-best performance with seven goals against the Demons, the big Tomahawk will be chock-full of confidence coming into the last five games.

He is 11 goals behind Brown, which looks too big a gap to bridge.

But a few more weeks where he boots seven and the Cats' star forward will be in the lead in no time.

Prediction: Worth a very small bet for a roughy. A repeat of Saturday's performance and he'll be pushing favouritism.

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